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MM2 Day 40: Gingerscope’s Third −250 Cut Meets a One-Day Hold — Halloween 2026 Trading Prep

Post-Hunt Day 40 is a digest day: the October 1 Supreme tape still rules, Gingerscope keeps bleeding at the Ancient tier, and Halloween chatter is loud — but verified values say park capital in demand-6 godlies, not rumor clips.

Last updated: October 2, 2026

Murder Mystery 2 traders entered Friday, October 2, 2026 on a one-day hold window: the latest dated Supreme refresh is still October 1, not October 2. Offers should therefore anchor on yesterday’s 24-row batch, not on “new day, new tape” math. The clearest fresh signal is the Ancient winter lane: Gingerscope took another −250 cut to about 15,750 at demand 6/10, matching the same-sized moves from September 16 and September 29. Meanwhile Soul Set, Spirit Knife, and Soul Gun hold their new demand-6 upgrade, base Raygun sits near 1,800 at demand 5/10, and Chroma Raygun leads the chroma side near 14,250 at demand 6/10.

Quick answer: October 2 is a digest day, not a new Supreme batch. Price Gingerscope against its repeated −250 streak, quote Soul and Spirit at demand 6, keep base Raygun separate from Chroma Raygun, and ignore unverified Halloween leak clips for pricing.

Use the MM2 trade calculator to rebuild both sides. Community MM2 values are trading estimates, not official Roblox prices or Robux amounts.

October 2 at a glance — digest day after a full Supreme batch

Summer Event 2026 ended August 23, 2026. The source records The Hunt hub deadline as September 28, 10:00 AM PT. On October 2, the MM2 value changes log still lists October 1, 2026 as the newest Supreme stamp, with no October 2 Supreme rows visible at drafting time. Homepage movers can still refresh between batches, as they did in the Day 38 chroma-only sync, but undated ticks remain secondary until a new dated batch lands.

LaneOctober 2 signalWhat to do
Ancient winter bleedGingerscope −250 to about 15,750, demand 6/10Price the repeated trend, not the early-September peak.
Halloween vintage upgradeSoul Set +20 to about 1,330, demand 5 → 6; Spirit and Soul Gun matchQuote Spirit and Soul with the October 1 demand-6 logic.
2025 Halloween tier splitBase Raygun −50 to about 1,800 D5; Chroma Raygun +250 to about 14,250 D6Never average base and chroma in one calculator line.
Demand-6 parking lotEvergreen +50 to about 2,625 D6, stability Doing WellUse it as the documented alternative if exiting base Raygun.
Valentine chroma stressChroma Heart Wand about 3,900, stability Underpaid ForSize exits using stability, not only the headline value.

Gingerscope’s third −250 — why the Ancient leader still prints red

Gingerscope remains the top-valued Ancient on the MM2 ancient values hub, but demand 6/10 is not the same as price stability. The October 1 row cut it from 16,000 → 15,750 (−250), matching the same increment on September 29 and echoing the September 16 batch. Its value page still reads Stable, which explains why trades happen without making 15,750 a verified floor.

  • Gingerscope — about 15,750, demand 6/10, repeated −250 Supreme steps.
  • Traveler's Axe — about 8,000, demand 5/10, recent −100 on its value page.
  • Vampire's Axe — smaller Ancient tier piece; not a substitute for reading Gingerscope’s streak.

Capital leaving Gingerscope can show up in demand-6 godlies and select chroma greens from the October 1 batch, including Chroma Raygun +250 and Chroma Alien Set +250, while base Alien Set printed −100.

Soul Set demand 6 — Day 2 of the Spirit / Soul upgrade

October 1 upgraded Soul Set, Spirit Knife, and Soul Gun together. On October 2 there is no follow-through Supreme row yet, which makes this a hold-and-verify window rather than a new batch.

  • Stack Spirit + Soul offers using October 1 demand-6 logic.
  • Use Evergreen near 2,625 with Doing Well stability on its value page as the documented demand-6 comparison.
  • Contrast the lane with base Raygun near 1,800 at demand 5; Chroma Raygun remains a separate demand-6 instrument.

Spirit Knife and Soul Set item pages returned Cloudflare errors during drafting, so use the changes table and the MM2 godly values hub for set math.

Halloween 2026 chatter vs verified trading facts

Third-party guides reported that viral witch NPC and Halloween lobby clips were debunked as fake. That is community reporting, not an official Roblox announcement. There is no verified October 2 MM2 update post in the source describing new Halloween boxes, maps, or weapons.

What is verified today is the tradeable tape: the October 1 Supreme batch, the Roblox page’s “no running experiences” status at drafting time, and the linked item-page values. Season 2 and Halloween dates remain unconfirmed.

Chroma Heart Wand — Underpaid For stability after a −200 cut

The October 1 Supreme row printed Chroma Heart Wand −200 to about 3,900–4,000 at demand 5/10. Its value page lists stability as Underpaid For near 3,900. Expect wider negotiation bands until another dated row clarifies direction.

For chroma comparisons, use the MM2 chroma values list rather than copying godly totals. Mid-tier greens from the October 1 sync lane remain distinct from mega-cap Ever-line behavior.

October 2 trading checklist

  1. Confirm the newest Supreme stamp. If it still reads October 1, 2026, yesterday’s batch remains the law.
  2. Price Gingerscope against its repeated −250 streak, not early-September peaks.
  3. Quote Spirit, Soul, and Soul Set at demand 6; reject demand-5 screenshots.
  4. Split Raygun and Chroma Raygun on every calculator run: base near 1,800 D5, chroma near 14,250 D6.
  5. Ignore unverified Halloween leak clips for pricing; refresh the changes log daily.

Quick FAQ

Did MM2 get an October 2 Supreme batch?

Not in the source. The latest dated rows remain October 1, 2026, so October 2 is a digest day.

Is Gingerscope’s third −250 cut an official Roblox price?

No. It is a dated community Supreme row on MM2 Calculator. Roblox does not publish official trade prices or Robux values for these community estimates.

Are Halloween leak clips safe to price against?

No. The source treats those clips as unverified community reporting. Use dated value rows and item-page updates instead.

Sources and Update Policy

This article uses the MM2 Calculator October 1 value-change rows, homepage movers, the linked Gingerscope, Traveler's Axe, Evergreen, Raygun, Chroma Raygun, and Chroma Heart Wand pages, the Ancient, Godly, and Chroma lists, and the Day 38 companion article. Halloween and Season 2 timing are not treated as official announcements.

MM2 values, demand labels, stability reads, and rotation interpretations are unofficial community estimates. Recheck the latest dated rows and compare both sides in the calculator before accepting a trade.