Guide
MM2 Day 54: October 16 Supreme Batch — Gingerscope Prints −250 as the Historical Halloween Window Opens
Day 54 breaks the October 15 hold with a full Supreme tape on the same calendar day MM2 launched Halloween 2024. Gingerscope follows its demand-6 exit with a −250 print, while Alien Set, Raygun, and Alienbeam stay green at demand 6 — and Halloween 2026 still has no Nikilis date.
Last updated: October 16, 2026
Friday, October 16, 2026 ends the October 15 hold with a fresh Supreme batch — on the same calendar day Murder Mystery 2 historically opened its Halloween update in 2024. The MM2 value changes log lists 30 Supreme rows dated October 16, 2026, while the homepage reads Updated October 16, 2026. The headline move is follow-through on last week’s demand-6 shrink: Gingerscope prints −250 to about 15,000 at demand 5, and Chroma Raygun takes a third consecutive −250 to about 14,250, also at demand 5. The batch-backed demand-6 corridor that remains green is the 2025 Halloween godly lane: Alien Set, base Raygun, and Alienbeam. Nikilis still has not posted an official Halloween 2026 date on the Roblox game page. Run every counter through the free MM2 trade calculator before you accept.
Quick answer: October 16 is a 30-row follow-through batch. Gingerscope and Chroma Raygun are demand-5 trims; Alien Set, Raygun, and Alienbeam remain the green demand-6 core. The historical October 16–18 window has opened, but that is not an official Halloween 2026 launch notice.
Community MM2 values are trading estimates, not official Roblox prices or Robux amounts. When Supreme rows, homepage movers, and item headers disagree, cite the dated Supreme row first, then the item snapshot with the newest Last updated stamp.
October 16 at a glance — Day 54 on the historical launch calendar
Summer Event 2026 ended August 23, 2026. The Hunt hub closed after the source’s reported September 28, 10:00 AM PT cutoff. October 12 was a zero-row hold, October 13–14 brought full tapes, October 15 was another hold, and October 16 restores the batch rhythm with 30 dated Supreme lines. Guides still describe Halloween 2026 as not officially dated, while historical updates landed on October 16, 17, 16, and 18 in 2022–2025. October 16 is the first day of that watch window, not proof the 2026 event is live.
| Lane | What October 16 data shows | Trading takeaway |
|---|---|---|
| TRIM — Gingerscope | −250 to about 15,000, demand 5 | Price follows the October 14 downgrade; use Gingerscope value and MM2 ancient values. |
| TRIM — Chroma Raygun | −250 to about 14,250, demand 5 | Third straight −250; prefer the dated row over stale demand-6 headers. Check Chroma Raygun value. |
| PARK — 2025 godly demand 6 | Alien Set +50 to about 3,975–4,075; Raygun and Alienbeam +25, all demand 6 | Still the strongest verified demand-6 cluster; compare Alien Set, Raygun, and Alienbeam. |
| TRIM — Chroma Alien Set | −250 to about 38,250, demand still 6 | Demand did not block the cut; compare the MM2 chroma values board. |
| TRIM — Sun + 2024 Halloween | Chroma Sun Set −500; Sun Set −25; Vampire's Set/Axe −50 | Sun and 2024 Halloween trims continue; use MM2 godly values. |
| SYNC — Mega-cap Christmas chromas | Chroma Evergun/Evergreen −1,000 again; homepage Ever cluster near 90,000 | Continued demand-7 bleed is not a safety net. |
| EVENT — Halloween 2026 | Roblox page has standard description and no Halloween patch text | Use the Halloween 2026 leak debunk playbook; ignore unverified launch claims. |
Why Gingerscope’s −250 matters after the demand-6 label broke
October 14 was the warning shot: Gingerscope lost demand 6 without a price cut near 15,250. October 15 was a hold day. October 16 closes the loop with a Supreme row at about 15,000 and demand 5; the Gingerscope item page caught up the same morning with demand 5/10, stability Stable, and an October 16 update.
- Sellers: stop anchoring to pre-October 14 demand-6 screenshots; counters now reference 15,000 and demand 5.
- Buyers: do not assume this cut is a floor; treat today’s dated row as law until the next batch.
- Swappers: compare against names still printing green, especially the Alien/Raygun corridor, instead of averaging down into a red Ancient.
Chroma Raygun: third −250, demand 5, and item-page lag
Chroma Raygun was demand 6 after an October 8 +250 row, then October 14 removed that label and cut −250 to about 14,500. October 16 cuts another −250 to about 14,250 while demand stays at 5. The item page still showed about 14.8K, demand 6/10, and an October 7 update stamp on the morning fetch, while its FAQ referenced about 14,500. Until that snapshot syncs, negotiate from the October 16 Supreme row and disclose the lag.
Alien Set, Raygun, and Alienbeam — still demand 6, but slower green prints
The 2025 Halloween godly trio remains the green lane: Alien Set +50 to roughly 3,975–4,075, Raygun +25 to roughly 1,975–2,025, and Alienbeam +25 to roughly 2,000–2,050, all demand 6. Homepage movers echo the same demand-6 story. The nuance is pace: October 16 is positive but smaller than October 14’s +100/+50 burst, so do not expect another shock upgrade every batch. Chroma Alien Set still falls −250 at demand 6; demand score is not direction.
The rest of the October 16 tape
- Chroma Sun Set −500 to about 16,250; Chroma Sunset and Chroma Sunrise Gun each −250.
- Soul Set −10, Soul Gun −5, Spirit Knife −5; Sakura and Blossom rows also trim.
- Celestial Set −50; Traveler's Set flat near 12,200 at demand 5.
- Xeno Set +10 to about 820, with Xenoknife and Xenoshot each +5.
- Corrupt and Blizzard rows trim −10 at demand 3.
These rows confirm continued repricing of 2024–2025 inventory while traders wait for Nikilis; they do not confirm a Halloween launch.
Halloween 2026: historical window day one, still no official date
Mid-October is emotionally loud because past launches clustered around October 16–18. Verified first-party checks on October 16 still show the standard Roblox description without a dated Halloween 2026 patch note; the fetch also showed There are currently no running experiences. That message is not proof of a secret update. Until Roblox and Nikilis confirm, price the newest dated Supreme row, park in batch-backed demand-6 names, and ignore witch-lobby clips and “confirmed release date” posts covered by the debunk guide.
Bottom line for traders on Day 54
October 16 is a follow-through batch on the calendar traders associate with Halloween launches. Gingerscope and Chroma Raygun are the clearest exits from the old demand-6 story. Alien Set, Raygun, and Alienbeam remain the best-verified demand-6 parking lane with smaller green increments. Mega-cap Ever chromas keep bleeding −1,000 at demand 7, and Halloween 2026 remains undated by Nikilis. Use the MM2 trade calculator, cite October 16 rows, and treat the historical window as context — not confirmation.
Quick FAQ
Did MM2 get an October 16 Supreme batch?
Yes. The source records 30 dated October 16 Supreme rows after the October 15 hold.
Which demand-6 names remain green?
Alien Set, Raygun, and Alienbeam rise on the October 16 row at demand 6. Chroma Alien Set remains demand 6 but falls 250.
What happened to Gingerscope?
It falls 250 to about 15,000 at demand 5, and the item page syncs to demand 5 on October 16.
Is Halloween 2026 live?
No official date is verified. Historical October 16–18 timing is background only; wait for Roblox or Nikilis confirmation.
Sources and Update Policy
This article uses MM2 Calculator October 16 value-change rows, homepage movers, Gingerscope and Chroma Raygun item snapshots, the Alien/Raygun/Alienbeam rows, the Roblox page check, and historical Halloween context. Chroma Raygun page lag and third-party launch claims are disclosed rather than treated as official facts.
MM2 values, demand labels, stability reads, and rotation interpretations are unofficial community estimates. Recheck the latest dated rows and compare both sides in the calculator before accepting a trade.