MM2 September 7 Trading Watch: Raygun Is Hot on the Board While Base Raygun Recedes — Day 15 Chroma Split

Last updated: September 7, 2026

Murder Mystery 2's homepage flags Raygun as hot on September 7 — but the base gun is receding, not rallying. Fifteen days after Summer Event 2026 closed, MM2 Calculator logged only a single Wiki Supreme row on September 6 (Ornament +10). The real trading story lives in the spread between tiers: base Raygun sits near 1,750 with demand 5/10 and Receding stability after a −100 step, while Chroma Raygun climbed to 14,000 at demand 6/10 with a +250 green print. That is an ~8× chroma premium — wider than the ~7.6× gap traders saw on September 4.

Run every counter-offer through the free MM2 trade calculator and cross-check the value changes log before treating a “hot” label as a buy signal.

September 7 at a glance — Day 15 digest pause, split tape

Since the Summer Event ended on August 23, 2026, Supreme has repriced roughly every one to two days. The September 5 batch landed 42 rows — the seventh post-event reprice — and broke a two-day hold window. September 6 brought almost nothing new: one Ornament knife Wiki Supreme adjustment. That digest pause gives traders time to read the rotation map before the next batch, but it also means list prices can look stale while live spreads move.

No official Nikilis patch notes or verified in-game update was published for September 7. Everything below is community value-list data tracked on MM2 Calculator — not official Roblox pricing.

Why Raygun is "hot" while base Raygun recedes

MM2 Calculator's homepage updated September 7, 2026 with trend data dated September 6. The "Hot right now" spotlight still points at Raygun — but the item pages tell a split story traders must not confuse.

Base Raygun on the Raygun page lists near 1,750 after a recent −100 (−5.41%) move from about 1,850. Demand reads 5/10 and stability is flagged Receding — the same OUT-lane label that appeared on Alienbeam and Sunrise through the September 4–5 rotation. The MM2V reference on the same page sits near 1,950, roughly 200 points above the Supreme midpoint. That cross-list gap matters: a counterparty quoting MM2V may think Raygun is still near 1,900+ while Supreme traders have already moved the base gun toward 1,750.

Chroma Raygun on the Chroma Raygun page tells the opposite side. It lists near 14,000 with demand 6/10, stability Stable, and a recent +250 (+1.82%) step from about 13,750. The homepage Rising board confirms Chroma Raygun alongside Chroma Constellation (+500) near 33,000 and Chroma Alien Set (+250) near 38,000.

Trade read: "Hot" on the homepage reflects search and trade-check volume on the Raygun name — not a unified price direction. Collectors upgrading from base to chroma on the Halloween 2025 line are still paying premiums even as base components bleed. If you hold base Raygun, do not anchor offers to Chroma Raygun's green row. If you hold Chroma Raygun, the base gun's Receding label is not your sell signal — the chroma tier has its own demand shelf at 6/10.

The widening premium math

On September 4, traders quoted roughly a 7.6× chroma premium (base ~1,850 vs chroma ~14,000). By September 7, base Raygun slipped to ~1,750 while Chroma Raygun held ~14,000 — pushing the implied ratio toward 8×. That widening gap is the post-Summer Event pattern in miniature: capital leaves receding 2025 base sets and parks in chroma variants or demand-6 classics outside the 2025 rotation cluster.

Where capital still looks IN — Constellation and the Dark Set shelf

During digest pauses, the safest read is which demand-6 names kept their tags through the September 5 batch — not which items printed the loudest single-day move.

Constellation Gun — demand 6 with Overpaid For stability

Constellation Gun on the Constellation page sits near 3,050 after a +100 (+3.39%) step from about 2,950. Demand remains 6/10 and stability reads Overpaid For — a warning that list value may run ahead of what traders actually pay, but also a sign the Christmas 2024 gun is still absorbing upgrade capital. Pair it with Chroma Constellation near 33,000 at demand 7/10 on the chroma values list for a two-tier Constellation play: base gun for mid-tier liquidity, chroma gun for longer holds.

Dark Set — steady demand 6 without 2025 volatility

The Halloween 2023 Dark Set pair continues grinding higher without the demand-downgrade drama hitting Vampire's Gun or Evergreen:

• Darkshot ~1,800 (+25, demand 6/10, Stable) — confirmed on the Darkshot page
• Darksword ~1,775 (+25, demand 6/10, Stable)
• Sakura ~1,360 (+10, demand 6/10, Stable) on the homepage high-demand board
• Blossom ~1,370 (+10, demand 6/10)

These names offer demand 6/10 with Stable reads — a useful contrast to base Raygun's 5/10 Receding label. For traders rotating out of the 2025 Alien cluster, Darkshot near 1,800 and Constellation near 3,050 sit on cleaner demand shelves than Raygun at 1,750.

Demand-downgrade watch — what the next batch may confirm

The September 5 batch introduced a pattern traders learned from Sun Set in early September: demand downgrades often precede value cuts by one batch. Sun Set lost demand 6 → 5 on September 2 with a flat listed value, then printed −175 on September 3 with Receding stability.

Three former IN-lane favorites now sit in that warning zone:

• Vampire's Gun ~2,250 (+50 on Sep 5) — demand 6 → 5 — Vampire's Gun page
• Evergreen ~3,000 (flat on Sep 5) — demand 6 → 5
• Vampire's Set ~3,850 (+50 on Sep 5) — demand 6 → 5

On September 7, all three still show green or flat value rows with the lower demand tag. That is exactly the Sun Set setup before the price cut landed. Holders should treat the demand drop as the lead indicator — not the green value line. Buyers should not pay demand-6 premiums for items now tagged 5/10 unless the next batch confirms a hold.

By contrast, Constellation Gun and Celestial Set kept demand 6/10 through the September 5 batch — they remain the last demand-6 upgrade cluster not yet downgraded. If you are choosing between Vampire's Gun at 2,250 (demand 5) and Constellation at 3,050 (demand 6), the demand tag difference is more informative than the 800-point value gap alone.

Chroma high-end — not every chroma is climbing

September 7 is not an "all chromas up" day. The homepage Falling board still highlights:

• Chroma Traveler's Gun ~190,000 on the chroma list (−10,000 on the trend board; Supreme logged −20,000 to ~200,000 on September 5)
• Chroma Alienbeam ~24,000 (−1,000)
• Chroma Bauble ~34,000 (−1,000)

Meanwhile mid-tier Halloween 2025 chromas keep printing green: Chroma Raygun, Chroma Constellation, and Chroma Alien Set. That two-speed chroma tape — rising event-year chromas vs trimming mega-cap and winter-adjacent pieces — has been consistent since post-event Day 9. Traders holding both base and chroma on the same line should price each tier separately, not as a fixed ratio.

September 7 trading playbook — digest pause, live spreads

With no major Supreme batch dated September 6 or September 7 yet, today's edge is re-pricing off the September 5 sheet and watching for demand-downgrade follow-through — not chasing a phantom update.

1. Check both tiers before any Raygun trade. Base near 1,750 Receding vs Chroma near 14,000 Stable — the homepage "hot" label applies to the name, not a single direction.
2. Prefer demand-6 IN lanes during the pause. Constellation, Darkshot, Darksword, Sakura, and Blossom kept 6/10 tags through September 5.
3. Treat demand-5 greens as exit warnings. Vampire's Gun, Evergreen, and Vampire's Set match the Sun Set playbook — demand down first, value cut next.
4. Cross-check list conflicts. Base Raygun shows Supreme ~1,750 vs MM2V ~1,950; Chroma Raygun shows Supreme ~14,000 vs MM2V ~14,500. Use the calculator, not one screenshot.
5. Watch for the eighth post-event batch. If it lands with red rows on Vampire or Evergreen, the downgrade wave confirmed. If values hold flat, the exit window may still be open for sellers.

Compare full category lists on the MM2 godly values page and chroma values page before you lock a multi-item upgrade. The post-Summer Event rotation is fifteen days old — the split between receding base 2025 sets and rising chroma premiums is the clearest trade signal on the board today.

Quick FAQ

Is Raygun’s Hot label a demand upgrade?

No. The Hot badge reflects site search and trade-check attention. Base Raygun remains near 1,750 at demand 5/10 with Receding stability, while Chroma Raygun has its own demand-6 Stable read.

What is the latest major Supreme batch?

The latest major batch is dated September 5, 2026. September 6 added one Wiki Supreme row for Ornament, and no September 7 major batch is confirmed in the source data.

Why compare base and chroma separately?

Base Raygun and Chroma Raygun carry different demand and stability labels. Their current list midpoints are about 1,750 and 14,000, so one tier’s movement should not be treated as a fixed signal for the other.

Sources and Update Policy

This article uses MM2 Calculator’s September 7 homepage, value lists, item pages, and value changes log, with the September 5 batch as the latest major confirmed reprice. Homepage badges, trend-board moves, and MM2V references are presented as context and are kept separate from confirmed Supreme rows.

MM2 values, demand labels, stability reads, and rotation interpretations are unofficial community estimates, not official Roblox prices or guaranteed trade outcomes. Recheck current pages and compare both sides before making a trade decision.